Божья воля
Mar. 23rd, 2017 02:23 pm![[identity profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/openid.png)
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Крис Стюарт - республиканский конгрессмен из Юты, бывший военный пилот и автор популярных книжек вроде "Seven miracles that saved America". В книжке рассказывается про семь эпизодов в истории Америки, когда только чудо (вмешательство бога) спасло страну. Последний такой эпизод - чудо, которое спасло жизнь Рональду Рейгану после покушения 1981 г.
На слушаниях в Конгрессе состоялся любопытный диалог между Стюартом и Коми по поводу того, верили ли русские в победу Трампа.

STEWART: Let me begin by asking you, do you think that the Russians expected Secretary Clinton to win the election?
COMEY: Yes, as of August certainly, August, September.
STEWART: OK.
Mr. Rogers?
ROGERS: Yes.
STEWART: OK. Well, look, Mr. Comey you indicated as of August, September, do you believe they ever came to a conclusion that you know what? Mr. Trump's going to win.
COMEY: No, our -- the assessment of the intelligence community was that early on, they thought he might have a shot. And so they wanted to mess with our election, hurt our country in general, that's always the baseline. They hated her, Secretary Clinton, wanted to harm her and thought they might have a chance to help Mr. Trump. And then later, concluded that Mr. Trump was hopeless and they would focus then on just trying to undermine Secretary Clinton, especially with the European allies.
STEWART: Got that, so up -- up until summer and through the fall, they believe that Secretary Clinton would win, is that true?
COMEY: I think the assessment was, late in the summer, they concluded based on the polling I think a lot of people were reading, that Mr. Trump didn't have a chance. And they shifted to just focusing on just trying to undermine her.
STEWART: And I tell you, if you were to tell me and I know you didn't but I'm just saying, if anyone were to tell me that they concluded Mr. Trump is going to win. I'd just say they're nuts, because there was no one in the world who thought that. Every media organization, every political organization, every government organization that I'm familiar with last fall thought that Secretary Clinton would be the next President of the United States.
COMEY: I think the Russians agreed.
STEWART: I -- absolutely they did agree. Then this is the point and this is such a fine line, but it's such an important point, and that is how can you know for certain if the Russians were motivated by hurting the person they thought in fact, fully expected was going to be the next President of the United States and comparing that with a mode (ph) of this kind of a Hail Mary pass. You know what, maybe this guy's got a shot. Let's try and help him get elected because those motives would be -- and that's -- that' again coming back to my original point, determining motives is very difficult.
You have to either have very direct information or you have to be able to get inside someone's head and really figure out what it is that's driving them. And knowing the Russians expected Secretary Clinton to win, would you see that some of those things that they've done would be consistent with undermining her presidency, not necessarily because they thought Mr. Trump was going to win and they wanted help.
COMEY: Again, I think it's too close related sides of the same coin. I mean, to put it in a homely metaphor, I hate the New England Patriots and no matter who they play, I'd like them to lose. And so I'm at the same time rooting against the Patriots and hoping their opponent beats them. Because only two teams on the field but what the intelligence community concluded was early on, the hatred for Mrs. Clinton was -- was all the way along.
When Mr. Trump became the nominee, there was some sense that it'd be great if he could win, be great if we could help him. But we need to hurt her to matter what and then it shifted to he has no chance so let's just focus on undermining her. That was the judgment of the intelligence community.
Сам Путин отзывался об этом вопросе несколько иначе:

[Трамп] тонко почувствовал настроение общества и работал именно в этой парадигме, до конца шёл, хотя никто не верил, кроме нас с вами, в то, что он победит. (Аплодисменты.)
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53573
В победу Трампа накануне выборов верило 50% россиян - больше, чем в любой другой стране мира.
В досье Стила описываются переживания, которые испытывали в Кремле во время взлетов и падений шансов Трампа. Сообщение от 12 октября 2016 описывает разочарование Путина от того, что выложенная в Викиликс почта Подесты не произвела должный эффект "октябрьского сюрприза":
The senior leadership figure said that a degree of buyer’s remorse was setting in among Russian leaders concerning TRUMP. PUTIN and his colleagues were surprised and disappointed that leaks of Democratic candidate, Hillary CLINTON’s hacked e-mails had not had greater impact on the campaign.
The Russian Foreign Ministry official, who had direct access ot he TRUMP support operation, reported that PUTIN was angry at his subordinates “over-promising” on the Republican presidential candidate, both interms of his chances and reliability and being able to cover and/or contain the US backlash over Kremlin interference.

Между тем Игорь Сечин продолжал верить в победу Трампа по крайней мере до 17 октября:
According to SECHIN’s close associate, the Rosneft President had continued to believe that TRUMP could win the US presidency right up to 17 October, when he assessed this was no longer possible.
У самого Трампа особые отношения с правдой и с предсказаниями:
I’m a very instinctual person, but my instinct turns out to be right. When everyone said I wasn’t going to win the election, I said well I think I would. You know it is interesting, somebody came up to me and said the other day, gee whiz, the New York Times and other people, you know other groups, had you down at one percent, well, I said no I think I am going to win, and people smiled, George Stephanopoulos laughed, you remember. He thought it was very cute, and very funny. Other people smiled. And some people, the smart people or the people that know me didn’t laugh at all. There are people that know me, like Carl Icahn and many others, that didn’t laugh at all, they thought I was going to win, because they understand how I, they understand me. They get it.
http://time.com/4710456/donald-trump-time-interview-truth-falsehood/