Факторы риска

[tijd.livejournal.com]

Пять возможных будущих событий, которых следует опасаться.

1. Ядерная война.

У кое-кого чешутся руки по мотивам давней фантазии. И Северная Корея, и Иран стоят на карте. Любитель войнушки Линдси Грэм оценивает шансы в 30-70%.

He estimated the odds that the Trump administration deliberately strikes North Korea first, to stop it from acquiring the capability to target the U.S. mainland with a long-range, nuclear-tipped missile. And the senator’s numbers were remarkably high.
“I would say there’s a three in 10 chance we use the military option,” Graham predicted in an interview. If the North Koreans conduct an additional test of a nuclear bomb—their seventh—“I would say 70 percent.”
Graham said that the issue of North Korea came up during a round of golf he played with the president on Sunday. “It comes up all the time,” he said.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/12/lindsey-graham-war-north-korea-trump/548381/

President Trump's approval rating has gotten even worse at the GOP has been debating its tax plan. Now at an all-time low of 36.5% in our tracking. https://t.co/XxvWwz6NaM pic.twitter.com/DS5wm4KYYu

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 15, 2017

Между тем рейтинг поддержки президента продолжает неумолимо падать, приближаясь к критически низкому. Самое время задуматься о "маленькой победоносной войне".

( Read more... )